Which AI should you use? Picks by plan and task, updated as the models change.

Your plan

Writing, research, coding, and files & app tasks — weighed equally.

Highest individual plans in the US. No extra usage purchases.

REPORT FROM THE LOOKOUT

AI CONDITIONS

Overall pickHighest paid
ChatGPTGPT-6 Astra
ClaudeOpus 5.5
Gemini3.8 Flash
GrokGrok 4.7

TODAY’S PICKCLAUDE

CHECKED

A note on the needle

Confidence: moderate

I’d open Claude.

Opus 5.5 still gives me broad independent evidence for professional work, and Sonnet 5.5 now leads Zapier’s simulated workflow leaderboard at max effort with default fallbacks. Independent Sol 6.1 tests also strengthen ChatGPT for agentic work and coding, though Artificial Analysis and Vals differ on its relative standing. Astra leads a separate vending simulation. Across writing, research, coding and task completion, I would still open Claude first; model tests do not measure these subscriptions end to end. Argon leads the new Vals Index model evaluation at high effort, but Google has not yet released it to Ultra subscribers. That early result cannot change a current plan pick.

This pick has stronger comparative evidence behind it. It can still be wrong for your particular job.

What’s behind the sign

The models, the limits, and the reasons I haven’t moved the needle somewhere else.

ChatGPT

Strong
ChatGPT Pro 500 ↗

GPT-6 Astra · GPT-6.1 Sol in Work/Codex · Dot

Astra and Sol 6.1 have strong independent agent results, while Pro 500 adds a faster service tier and gradual Dots access. Model tests do not establish a Pro 500 task lead.

What you get with this plan

The highest US individual Pro tier is $500/month. Astra Ultrafast reduces latency, not the model’s reasoning quality. GPT-6.1 Sol is rolling out in paid Work/Codex, not regular Chat; Dots roll out gradually. Included usage applies before optional credits, which are excluded here.

Claude

Leadingmy pick
Claude Max · 20x ↗

Opus 5.5 · Sonnet 5.5 · Fable · Cowork / Code

Independent Opus and Sonnet 5.5 work tests support this pick, while their effort settings differ from consumer-app defaults.

What you get with this plan

Highest individual Max allowance. Fable has its own allocation. Sonnet 5.5 is newly available, while independent Opus 5.5 results still ground the leading ratings.

Gemini

Strong
Google AI Ultra · 20x ↗

3.8 Flash · Deep Think · Spark

Lots of Google and research tools here. I’d like a current test of all four apps before calling it the winner. Vals finds early Argon strong on professional work, but it is not yet confirmed in Ultra.

What you get with this plan

US Ultra 20x includes Deep Think, Spark and the highest Gemini usage allowance. Spark requires a personal Google Account and age 18+. Private model previews are excluded. Reusable chat skills are rolling out to all personal Google AI tiers for adults; availability is gradual and does not imply Spark schedules. Argon is in restricted early testing; Google says Ultra access will follow, so this plan is not credited with it yet.

Grok

Competitive
SuperGrok Heavy ↗

Grok 4.7 · Build / Grok 4.6 · chat

Grok 4.7 scores 46 on Artificial Analysis’s Intelligence Index. Its best results are in professional work; Opus 5.5 remains my broader pick.

What you get with this plan

Heavy includes Grok Build, where 4.7 is available. I use published Grok 4.7 xhigh benchmarks for this assessment. The chat plan page still lists 4.6; benchmark effort settings describe the test, not a guaranteed setting in every app.

Here’s what this call rests on. A company talking about its own model is marked “Official.”

  • Artificial Analysis / Independent test / Sep 22

    Opus 5.5: independent evaluation ↗

    Opus 5.5 leads the Intelligence Index and professional-work evaluations; terminal coding is level with Astra. These are model-and-harness tests, not a test of every consumer plan.

  • Artificial Analysis / Independent test / Sep 21

    Benchmarking Grok 4.7 ↗

    Independent xhigh testing finds strong professional-work and coding gains, mixed long-context and automation results. Native Grok Build tests are reported separately from the standardized model benchmark.

  • Anthropic / Official / Sep 22

    Introducing Claude Opus 5.5 ↗

    The latest Opus release adds work and communication improvements. Vendor scores and early-access testimonials are treated as launch evidence, not independent replication.

  • SpaceXAI / Official / Sep 21

    Introducing Grok 4.7 ↗

    The release verifies Grok 4.7 in Grok Build and developer tools. It does not establish identical access or reasoning limits in every Grok chat subscription.

  • Google / Official / Sep 2

    Gemini 3.8 Flash arrives ↗

    Google confirms 3.8 Flash for AI Pro and Ultra. The free and AI Plus plans are not assumed to include the same flagship access.

  • OpenAI / Official / Sep 23

    ChatGPT plans and model access ↗

    Go is the first paid tier; Pro includes Astra reasoning. Free has limited research and desktop Work access. Live rollout notes take precedence over older model rows.

  • Anthropic / Official / Sep 23

    Claude plan comparison ↗

    Pro includes Opus, Research and Claude Code. Max 20x increases capacity. Free includes Sonnet and Haiku, but not Opus or the dedicated Research feature.

  • Google / Official / Sep 23

    Google AI subscriptions ↗

    Free lists 3.6 Flash, limited 3.1 Pro and Deep Research. AI Plus expands usage; Ultra’s largest option adds more capacity and access to advanced features.

  • Artificial Analysis / X / Sep 22

    Opus 5.5 launch evaluation on X ↗

    The indexed post announces the new Intelligence Index leader. Full post access was unavailable; the linked evaluation is the substantive evidence, not a second independent vote.

  • Matthew Groff / Article / Sep 6

    Astra vs Fable for knowledge work ↗

    A first-hand account finds both useful and highlights workflow and usage-limit tradeoffs. It predates Opus 5.5, so it provides context rather than a current winner.

  • Google / Official / Sep 23

    Gemini adds another wave of connected apps ↗

    The September 23 rollout adds productivity and creative connections, including Airtable, Linear, Adobe and Webflow. The announcement does not specify identical access for every plan or independently demonstrate task reliability.

  • SpaceXAI / Official / Sep 23

    Grok individual plans ↗

    The individual comparison lists Lite below SuperGrok, then Plus and Heavy. The retrieved table omits some entitlement cells. The separate all-plan Build announcement and 4.7 release support Build access; they do not specify identical allowances.

  • SpaceXAI / Official / Aug 19

    Grok Build on every plan ↗

    Web/mobile Build expanded to every plan on August 19. Together with the 4.7 release, this supports a public Build path for Lite and Heavy; the free entry point is explicitly a trial.

  • Andon Labs / Independent test / Sep 24

    Opus 5.5, GPT-6 Sol and Grok 4.7 on Vending-Bench ↗

    In six runs per model of a simulated year managing a vending machine, Astra averaged $15,515, Sol $14,428, Grok 4.7 $10,537 and Opus 5.5 $9,235. This narrow API agent simulation favors OpenAI on its profit objective; it does not measure general task completion or consumer-plan access.

  • Vals AI / Independent test / Sep 22

    Claude Opus 5.5 benchmark suite ↗

    Opus 5.5 leads the Vals Index and several coding and professional benchmarks. Most runs use max effort; some refusals route to Opus 5 or 4.8, and counting fallback-assisted tasks as failures lowers Terminal-Bench 4.0 from 61.62% to 53.54%. These are model tests, not Max-plan app tests.

  • Anthropic / Official / Sep 27

    Introducing Claude Sonnet 5.5 ↗

    Sonnet 5.5 launched September 28. Anthropic reports large coding and professional-work gains over Sonnet 5, faster output, and clearer writing. Its headline Terminal-Bench 4.0 result is a vendor run; higher effort and API harness results are not consumer-plan tests. Independent post-launch replication is not yet published.

  • OpenAI / Official / Sep 28

    ChatGPT release notes: September 29 updates ↗

    OpenAI announced Pro 500, GPT-6.1 Sol in Work/Codex, Codex Cloud and Dots. Sol performance and agent benefits are vendor claims; rollout and limits apply.

  • OpenAI / Official / Sep 28

    ChatGPT Work and Codex model and Ultrafast access ↗

    GPT-6.1 Sol rolls out to eligible paid Work/Codex plans, not regular Chat. Astra Ultrafast is available on Pro 500, using included allowance before any optional credits; it is a speed tier, not a stronger model.

  • OpenAI / Official / Sep 28

    Getting started with your dot ↗

    Dots gradually roll out to US Pro subscribers. They are Astra-powered persistent agents; no independent reliability evaluation or stable post-preview usage terms are published.

  • Artificial Analysis / Independent test / Sep 27

    Claude Sonnet 5.5 independent evaluation ↗

    At max effort, Sonnet 5.5 scores 56 on the Intelligence Index and 64% on Terminal-Bench 4.0, near Opus 5.5 on work tasks. It used unusually many tokens; lower efforts lagged, default fallback was enabled, and some prerelease structured-output runs had a bug.

  • Vals AI / Independent test / Sep 27

    Claude Sonnet 5.5 benchmark suite ↗

    Sonnet 5.5 scores 69.22% on the Vals Index and leads Code Migration and Vibe Code. Max effort and server-side Sonnet 5 fallback affect interpretation; counting fallback-assisted tasks as failures lowers its Vals Index to 68.89%.

  • Artificial Analysis / Independent test / Sep 28

    Independent GPT-6.1 Sol evaluation ↗

    At max effort Sol 6.1 scores one point below Astra on AA Intelligence Index; coding-agent gains vary by effort, with xhigh above Astra on that index. This is a model/harness comparison, not a Pro 500 subscription test. Cost-per-task is API cost, not included-plan value.

  • Vals AI / Independent test / Sep 28

    GPT-6.1 Sol benchmark suite ↗

    At max effort Sol 6.1 records 61.15% on the Vals Index (7/30), 55.05% on Terminal-Bench 4.0 (5/31), and 65.12% on Code Migration (4/70). This differs from AA’s near-Astra aggregate; harnesses and settings are not interchangeable.

  • Google / Official / Sep 29

    Introducing Gemini 4 Argon ↗

    Argon is initially limited to trusted cyber defenders in the Fairwind Program. Google says wider developer, enterprise and consumer access comes later, starting with paid API and Google AI Ultra. Its coding, work and creative-writing benchmarks are vendor claims until independently checked; no current US individual plan is confirmed to have Argon.

  • Vals AI / Independent test / Sep 29

    Gemini 4 Argon independent benchmark results ↗

    Vals ranks Argon first on Vals Index 2.1 at 68.90% ±0.97, with high reasoning effort; it is second on Code Migration and Vibe Code, fifth on Terminal-Bench 4.0. This tests a model through an evaluation harness, not access or outcomes in a Google AI Ultra subscription.

How I put this together

I wanted a sign that would tell me which AI to open. So here it is. This report covers individual plans in the US. Pick your plan and what you’re trying to do; the needle is the recommendation.

I start with published benchmarks for the models you can use, then read papers, articles, and useful first-hand posts. Writing, research, coding, and files & app tasks count equally in the overall pick. That last category is about producing files and taking actions across apps, rather than just answering a question.

There’s no secret score. I use model tests to make a practical call; I don’t wait for somebody to test every subscription side by side. If the evidence is indirect, I mark the pick as a lean. The notes say which model and tools were tested. Usage limits still matter, but they’re a different question from how capable the model is.

The colored wedges are just the four tools. They aren’t danger levels. This is an independent project, with no connection to any parks department.